Nerdy Birds: Tyler Allgeier and Caleb Huntley are next men, Marcus Mariota makes a play and Grady Jarrett steps forward

Sitting at 2-2 with a lead in the NFC South race early in the season, the Falcons head to Tampa Bay for their first of two contests against the Buccaneers compete. Atlanta enters this week’s game with a chance to even the all-time series, as Tampa Bay holds a 29-28 lead. The Bucs have won the last four and five of the last six between the two teams. It’s a streak in recent memory with the Falcons winning five straight contests between 2016 and 2018.

Marcus Mariota has returned to the site of his NFL debut, where he led the Titans to a 42-14 victory in which he threw four touchdowns and completed 87 percent of his passes. Atlanta brings its rushing attack to Tampa as it tries to knock off the Buccaneers’ 12th-ranked rushing defense.

Losing Cordarrelle Patterson to injury for at least four weeks means the Falcons will turn to a stable of young running backs to carry the load in their offense. urgent. Although the sample was small, the trio of Caleb Huntley, Tyler Allgeier, and Avery Williams highlighted the Falcons’ production through the first four games.

Huntley and Allgeier had big games in the Falcons’ Week 4 win over the Cleveland Browns, with Huntley hauling in 56 yards and his first 10-yard score. Meanwhile, Allgeier threw for a team-high 84 yards on 10 carries and added a 20-yard reception. The rookie from BYU became the first Falcons rookie running back to reach 100 receiving yards in a game since Tevin Coleman in Week 12 of the 2015 season.

For his performance, Allgeier made Pro Football Focus’ top 15 rookies of Week 4 list, coming in at No. 7. The 5-foot-10, 226-pound running back showed a nice balance of strength and speed on Sunday. At the same time he is an injury, averaging 4.8 yards after connecting with the beam, and speed, he is faster than 15 miles per hour in his three runs. According to Next Gen Stats, Allgeier’s speed at the line of scrimmage is 11.34 miles per hour. Was the fifth-fastest running back with at least 10 carries, behind Aaron Jones (12.18), Huntley (11.73), Derrick Henry (11.63), and Antonio Gibson (11.40).

Huntley flashed in the first round but, with the limited number of cars moving around in a packed room, he was signed to the practice squad. . The loss of Damien Williams to a groin injury in Week 1 moved Huntley to the active roster in Week 2 but he had just one catch in that game. A heavy game plan and Patterson missing two days of practice in Week 4 brought him up again and he made the most of the opportunity. Huntley was the most successful of the Falcons’ 10-play, 10-run drive to start the fourth quarter as he hauled in eight carries and a 5-yard touchdown to put the Falcons up 17-13. .

According to Next Gen Stats, Huntley ranks third in scoring plus rushing (0.33) among all backs who run at least 10 carries. He is also tied for second with 63.6 percent of his runs gaining more yards than expected and he holds a success rate above 60 percent.

In Week 4, Huntley was second in rushing success rate (70 percent), third among running backs with a 0.40 EPA per carry, and also had five first downs in rushing. including the first two down than expected. With two of its top draft picks deployed, the Falcons signed Ball State’s first point guard to the roster ahead of their Week 5 matchup with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

the Falcons are laying the Browns on the ground with a lot of zone control ideas.

but check the change they used. The setup and first trade looks like a Lead Outside Zone run game, but the Falcons pull Center Drew Dalman for a Windback play and a big buck. pic.twitter.com/uNxLEi03CT

Williams, a turned hunter, also joins the fun. He threw a miraculous 37 yards, averaging 9.3 yards per carry. A fifth-round pick out of Boise State, Williams is one of the top punt returners in the country. He turned that outlook around and stepped into a role in the Falcons offense. Williams puts out 0.59 EPA per drive and has a 75 percent successful deployment.

The Falcons will need all their backs to repeat their performance from last week as the Bucs boast one of the most dangerous defenses in the NFL.

Has rushed 100 times for 427 yards (4.3 yards per carry) with two touchdowns against Tampa this season. It was the sixth-lowest total yards allowed by a team this season and the seventh-lowest number of rushing yards faced. Despite those horrendous numbers, Tampa’s defensive efficiency against the run (53.5) is the sixth worst in the NFL. In addition, only four teams have seen their opponents win-get their pass rush at a higher rate than the Buccaneers (42.6 percent). Statistics suggest the Bucs can keep going, but you have to stay in front of the chains and stay in the game.

The Buccaneers have been successful in controlling the offense, getting good looks for their defense against the opposition. Tampa has the third-lowest rushing rate against light containers (28 percent) and the fourth-highest rushing rate against cargo containers (42 percent). But getting the right look doesn’t always equal success. When the Buccaneers have had eight or more defenses in the box, teams have run for 117 yards, two touchdowns, and averaged 4.7 yards per carry.

This will be more than a power-to-power matchup for these two rivals on Sunday. This season, the Falcons have the best rushing mark against tight ends (8+ opponents) with a 57.7 percent rushing success rate. Atlanta has the second-most first downs (11), the first fewer than expected (4), tied for the third-most 10+ rushing yards (3), and top speed at the line of scrimmage (11.61 MPH) .

All 11 offensive players are needed if the Falcons want to continue to run the ball well against the defense. Buccaneers.

Most NFL games tend to depend on a few plays in extreme situations. This is the reason why many coaches and players value the importance of professional football. People can argue whether or not the power is real but there is no doubt that converting one of these important games can turn the game in your favor. Atlanta felt that first at Mercedes-Benz Stadium against the Browns in Week 4.

Despite struggling to find a rhythm for most of the game, Mariota made a play that may not have completely won the game for Atlanta but certainly affected the outcome in a special way. With 3 minutes, 35 seconds left and the score tied at 20-20, the Falcons faced a second-and-9 from their own nine-yard line. Before the incident, Atlanta’s winning chance sat at 50.2 percent and the odds added to the game were a measly 0.10. The game was tightly contested as the Falcons faced a long field to try and take the lead.

Atlanta lined up in the shooting guard with Huntley behind Mariota, Olamide Zaccheaus, and Drake London out on both sides of the formation, while Keith Smith and Parker Hesse at tight end, stuck in the formation. The Browns lined up with eight safeties in the box, including safety Grant Delpit, and one top safety in John Johnson. Atlanta’s success running the ball early in the third and fourth quarters forced the Browns into this one high-scoring scenario, opening the door for a rocky game.

On the interception, Mariota misplaced a handoff to Huntley, who ran the defense over the run and quickly brought down Browns linebacker Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah. As Mariota scanned the field he would have seen London take two defenders on his deep route, Owusu-Koramoah dropped back quickly and Delpit and linebacker Jacob Phillips dropped to cover their zone in on the trees.

Moving to his left and covering 13.9 yards, Mariota saw that London had cleaned things up and made a hard throw over his body to a wide open Sacheaus. The punt went 31.8 yards in the air and 22.6 yards from the scrimmage line. Zacchaeus was 11.8 yards from the nearest defender when the ball arrived which he used by adding 19.4 yards after the snap.

Tack on a 15-yard penalty for a tackle by Denzel Ward and Atlanta went from second-and-9 from its own 9-yard line to first-and-10 from the Cleveland 34-yard line and only three minutes to play. According to the Next Gen Stats win-probability model, the Falcons post-play probability win-win probability jumped from 23.2 percent to 73.4 percent after that one game.

Of course, the probability of winning is a variable number. This is a great example of that fact, and it shows how the Falcons’ strong pass rush is used in a good way to use the defense in a difficult situation. Despite struggling to find their footing in the passing game, Mariota and Atlanta’s offense made the big play when it mattered most.

Crunching QBs in Crunch Time

In each of the past two games, Falcons quarterback Grady Jarrett has defeated the opposing team in the fourth round. On the same subject : Watch: Cowboy cheerleaders go viral at boot camp. end of the game, leaving the opposing offense behind the trees.

In Seattle, the Seahawks got the ball at Atlanta’s 28-yard line with 2:00 left 27-23 when Jarrett beat center Austin Blythe and brought down Geno Smith for a 10-yard sack. yard, making it 4th-and-18. On the next play, Smith forced a ground ball intercepted by Richie Grant, sealing the Falcons’ victory.

Fast forward one week. Cleveland had a 2nd-and-15 from Atlanta’s 46-yard line with 1:24 left, trailing 23-20. Jarrett beat Browns All-Pro linebacker Joel Bitonio, bringing down Jacoby Brissett for an eight-yard loss. On 3rd-and-23, Brissett was intercepted by Dee Alford, ending the game for the second straight win.

According to TruMedia, Jarrett is the only player this year to record sacks in the fourth quarter of most games while leading his team by one possession.

Jarrett leads the Falcons with 3.5 sacks this season, which leads all defensive backs in the NFL and is tied for fourth-most in the NFC through Week 5. Only Nick Bosa (6.0), Rashan Gary (5.0) and Micah Parsons. (4.0) has more sacks than Jarrett in the conference through four games this year. Not a bad company to be in.

Jarrett’s sack last week marked the 30th of his career, tying Roderick Coleman for the eighth most in franchise history. With 1.0 sacks on Sunday, the eighth-year defensive lineman will tie Lester Archambeau for the seventh-most in team history — and with two sacks, the he will tie Brady Smith for the sixth.

After posting 1.5 sacks in Week 1 and adding a sack in the past two, Jarrett could become the fourth Falcon to have at least 1.0 sacks in the first four games. fifth in a season since 1982, when individual sacks became sacks. official NFL record, with 1.0 sacks on Sunday.

Atlanta Falcons linebacker Jordan Brailford #49 drinks from a bottle of Gatorade during practice in Flowery Branch, Georgia, on Thursday, Oct. 6, 2022. (Photo by Shanna Lockwood/Atlanta Falcons)

Shanna Lockwood/© 2022 Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons linebacker Jordan Brailford #49 during practice in Flowery Branch, Georgia, on Wednesday, October 5, 2022. (Photo by Shanna Lockwood/Atlanta Falcons)

Shanna Lockwood/© 2022 Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons outside linebacker DeAngelo Malone #51 washes himself with a bottle of Gatorade during practice in Flowery Branch, Georgia, on Thursday, October 6, 2022. (Photo by Shanna Lockwood/Atlanta Falcons)

Shanna Lockwood/© 2022 Atlanta Falcons

Detail of the necklace on Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Drake London #5 during practice in Flowery Branch, Georgia, on Thursday, Oct. 6, 2022. (Photo provided by Shanna Lockwood/Atlanta Falcons)

Shanna Lockwood/© 2022 Atlanta Falcons

Detail of Atlanta Falcons outside linebacker Arnold Ebiketie #47’s photo in the visor of outside linebacker Lorenzo Carter #9 during practice in Flowery Branch, Georgia, on Thursday, October 6, 2022. (Photo by Shanna Lockwood/Atlanta Falcons)

Shanna Lockwood/© 2022 Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons outside linebacker DeAngelo Malone #51 during practice in Flowery Branch, Georgia, on Thursday, October 6, 2022. (Photo by Shanna Lockwood/Atlanta Falcons)

Shanna Lockwood/© 2022 Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons inside linebacker Rashaan Evans #54 during practice in Flowery Branch, Georgia, on Thursday, October 6, 2022. (Photo by Shanna Lockwood/Atlanta Falcons)

Shanna Lockwood/© 2022 Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons defensive end Matt Dickerson #91 during practice in Flowery Branch, Georgia, on Thursday, October 6, 2022. (Photo by Shanna Lockwood/Atlanta Falcons)

Shanna Lockwood/© 2022 Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Jared Bernhardt #83 during practice in Flowery Branch, Georgia, on Wednesday, Oct. 5, 2022. (Photo by Shanna Lockwood/Atlanta Falcons)

Shanna Lockwood/© 2022 Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons running back Caleb Huntley #42 during practice in Flowery Branch, Georgia, on Wednesday, October 5, 2022. (Photo by Shanna Lockwood/Atlanta Falcons)

Shanna Lockwood/© 2022 Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons linebacker Grady Jarrett #97 during practice in Flowery Branch, Georgia, on Wednesday, October 5, 2022. (Photo by Shanna Lockwood/Atlanta Falcons)

Shanna Lockwood/© 2022 Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons kicker Younghoe Koo #7 and quarterback Desmond Ridder #4 during practice in Flowery Branch, Georgia, on Wednesday, October 5, 2022. (Photo by Shanna Lockwood/Atlanta Falcons)

Shanna Lockwood/© 2022 Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons kicker Younghoe Koo #7 and quarterback Desmond Ridder #4 during practice in Flowery Branch, Georgia, on Wednesday, October 5, 2022. (Photo by Shanna Lockwood/Atlanta Falcons)

Shanna Lockwood/© 2022 Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons coach Dwayne Ledford during practice in Flowery Branch, Georgia, on Wednesday, Oct. 5, 2022. (Photo by Shanna Lockwood/Atlanta Falcons)

Shanna Lockwood/© 2022 Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons tight end Kaleb McGary #76 takes part in a huddle during practice in Flowery Branch, Georgia, on Wednesday, October 5, 2022. ( Photo by Shanna Lockwood/Atlanta Falcons)

Shanna Lockwood/© 2022 Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons fullback Keith Smith #40 and running back Tyler Allgeier #25 during practice in Flowery Branch, Georgia, on Wednesday, October 5, 2022. (Photo by Shanna Lockwood/Atlanta Falcons)

Shanna Lockwood/© 2022 Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons quarterback Marcus Mariota #1 and quarterback Desmond Ridder #4 during practice in Flowery Branch, Georgia, on Wednesday, October 5, 2022. (Photo by Shanna Lockwood/Atlanta Falcons)

Shanna Lockwood/© 2022 Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons defensive lineman Grady Jarrett #97 during practice in Flowery Branch, Georgia, on Thursday, October 6, 2022. (Photo by Shanna Lockwood/Atlanta Falcons)

Shanna Lockwood/© 2022 Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons defensive end Jaleel Johnson #79 during practice in Flowery Branch, Georgia, on Wednesday, Oct. 5, 2022. (Photo by Shanna Lockwood/Atlanta Falcons)

Shanna Lockwood/© 2022 Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons outside linebacker Lorenzo Carter #9 drinks from a bottle of Gatorade during practice in Flowery Branch, Georgia, on Wednesday, October 5, 2022. (Photo by Shanna Lockwood/Atlanta Falcons)

Shanna Lockwood/© 2022 Atlanta Falcons

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ConditionBeginnersSupport
RGChris LindstromColby Gossett
RTCaleb McGaryGermain Ifedi
WROlamide ZakioKhaDarel Hodge
RBTyler AllgeierAvery Williams

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